Version 5 Tree Atlas


Ulmus serotina

September elm

noelev

Ulmus serotina Occurrence Sites

Environmental Variables Included
Order of Importance of Environmental Variables for Ulmus serotina

USDA Plants Database entry for Ulmus serotina
Silvics Manual entry for Ulmus serotina


Click on any map to enlarge

SynonymsFIA PlotsGBIF SitesOther SitesOther TypesTotal SitesNotes
16521much of range not well represented

Occurrence Locations and Hargrove's Present Suitable Range Outline
Ulmus_serotina_final Occurrences
Hargroves Present Suitable Range Outline for Ulmus_serotina_final
Ulmus serotina - Occurrence Locations Ulmus serotina - Hargrove's Present Suitable Range Outline
Present Conditions
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.conus
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.global
Ulmus serotina - CONUS
Compare with Current Range from the Silvics Manual for Ulmus serotina
Compare with Current Range from Biota of North America Program (BONAP) for Ulmus serotina

Ulmus serotina not modeled by Iverson and Prasad
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Coops and Waring
Ulmus serotina - Global

PCM - Parallel Climate Model
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.conus
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.global
PCM, Scenario A1FI, 2050 - Ulmus serotina - CONUS
PCM, Scenario A1FI, 2050 - Ulmus serotina - Global
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.conus
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.global
PCM, Scenario A1FI, 2100 - Ulmus serotina - CONUS
Ulmus serotina species not modeled by Iverson and Prasad
PCM, Scenario A1FI, 2100 - Ulmus serotina - Global

Ulmus_serotina_final.1.conus
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.global
PCM, Scenario B1, 2050 - Ulmus serotina - CONUS
PCM, Scenario B1, 2050 - Ulmus serotina - Global
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.conus
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.global
PCM, Scenario B1, 2100 - Ulmus serotina - CONUS
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Iverson and Prasad
PCM, Scenario B1, 2100 - Ulmus serotina - Global

Hadley Climate Model
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.conus
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.global
Hadley, Scenario A1FI, 2050 - Ulmus serotina - CONUS
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Hadley, Scenario A1FI, 2050 - Ulmus serotina - Global
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.conus
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.global.
Hadley, Scenario A1FI, 2100 - Ulmus serotina - CONUS
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Iverson and Prasad
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Coops and Waring
Hadley, Scenario A1FI, 2100 - Ulmus serotina - Global

Ulmus_serotina_final.1.conus
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.global.
Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050 - Ulmus serotina - CONUS
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Coops and Waring
Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050 - Ulmus serotina - Global
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.conus
Ulmus_serotina_final.1.global
Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Ulmus serotina - CONUS
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Iverson and Prasad
Ulmus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Ulmus serotina - Global
Range Shift and Summary Statistics for Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050
Ulmus_serotina_final.noelev

Number of Suitable Ecoregions (Niche Breadth)

13

Percent Rank of Generalist Niche Breadth of all ForeCASTS species

76.9863

Area in Present Suitable Range (in km2)

132044

Area in Future Suitable Range (Had B1 2050, in km2)

81368

Area of Overlap of Future Suitable Range with
Present Suitable Range (Had B1 2050, in km2)

21769

Percent Overlap of Future Suitable Range with
Present Suitable Range (Had B1 2050)

16.4800

Percent Rank of Largest Proportion of Overlap of all ForeCASTS species

95.4795

Percent Change in Area of Suitable Range (Had B1 2050)

-38.3700

Percent Rank of Largest Percent Change in Suitable Area of all ForeCASTS species

66.5753

Mean Non-Zero Fine Minimum Required Movement Distance
(Had B1 2050, in km)

37429.8 +/- 33359.5

Percent Rank of Longest Fine MRM Distance of all ForeCASTS species

16.1644

Mean Non-Zero Coarse Minimum Required Movement Distance
(Had B1 2050, in map cells)

23.6421 +/- 38.0263

Percent Rank of Longest Coarse MRM Distance of all ForeCASTS species

6.84932

Mean Non-Zero Coarse Optimum Required Movement Distance
(Had B1 2050, in map cells)

309.695 +/- 829.24

Percent Rank of Longest Coarse ORM Distance of all ForeCASTS species

12.4658

Area of Present Range that has No Home in the Future
(Had B1 2050, in map cells)

11353

Proportion of Present Range that has No Home in the Future
(Had B1 2050, percent)

8.5900

Percent Rank of Largest Proportion with No Home of all ForeCASTS species

10.8219

Area of Present Range that is already Home in the Future
(Had B1 2050, in map cells)

20781

Proportion of Present Range that is already Home in the Future
(Had B1 2050, percent)

15.7300

Percent Rank of Largest Proportion Already Home of all ForeCASTS species

81.0959

Present and Future Ranges - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050 - Ulmus serotina Ulmus serotina - Range Change Statistics
Fine Minimum Required Movement (MRM) Distance and Direction for Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050
Ulmus_serotina_final.noelev Fine MRM Distance
Ulmus_serotina_final.noelev Fine MRM Direction
Fine Minimum Required Movement (MRM) Distance - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Ulmus serotina Fine Minimum Required Movement (MRM) Direction - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Ulmus serotina
Coarse Minimum Required Movement (MRM) and Optimum Required Movement (ORM) Distance for Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050
Ulmus_serotina_final.noelev Coarse MRM Distance
Ulmus_serotina_final.noelev Coarse ORM Distance
Coarse Minimum Required Movement (MRM) Distance - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Ulmus serotina Coarse Optimum Required Movement (ORM) Distance - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Ulmus serotina

Thu Jul 21 10:07:15 EDT 2016


For additional information contact:

William W. Hargrove
Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center (EFETAC)
USDA Forest Service
Southern Research Station
200 WT Weaver Boulevard
Asheville, NC 28804-3454
(828) 257-4846
(865) 235-4753 (cell)
(828) 257-4313 (fax)
hnw@geobabble.org

William W. Hargrove (hnw@geobabble.org)